This is
an analysis of Asian teams in test cricket and the extent of their domination
during their peak periods. |
Stats
for India have been selected from post partition era. Before the number
crunching, let me define the parameters of this analysis: |
|
Dominance
Ratio = (Wins + Draws +Tie ) / Losses during the past "n" Tests |
Peak
Period = Sequence of Tests with the best Dominance Ratio |
n = 35
and 50 Tests for separate analysis |
$= Most
no. of wins in a sequence of 35
matches |
|
|
Here are
a few things you should know before you read the analysis: |
|
1. I
took the cumulative records of Pakistan, India and Sri Lanka from Cricinfo
updated till March 23, 2013 and put them in an excel sheet. |
2. I
added a few columns to show total wins, total losses, total ties and total
draws in the last "n" matches. |
3. I
then highlighted the years with best dominance ratio (as defined above).
Where more than one "n" periods had the same ratio, I chose the
period with the most wins as the Peak Period. I have highlighted the second
best period in grey. |
4. There
was a case for making Wins and Losses more influential in the ratio than the
Draws but Peak period for me is that period during which the team was almost
invincible. Therefore, Draws have as much weightage as Wins in the ratio. |
5. This
analysis is simply based on basic stats. It does not include the quality of
opposition and home and away advantages. Pakistan and India were also minnows
at the time of partition, they had the same teething problems as Sri Lanka.
And to Sri Lanka's advantage, they have played more Test cricket against
Zimbabwe and Bangladesh during their Peak than India or Pakistan. |
6. Since
Sri Lanka started later than the other two teams, I believe using n=35 is a
better option than using n-50. Using a smaller value for "n" will
be improper since peak periods are extended periods of dominance. |
7. No.
of times Dominance Ratio was achieved shows the consistency of the teams: how
many times the teams got near their own peak since the start of their
cricket. |
8.
Comparison of Dominance Ratios of the three teams also shows the dominance
quantitatively i.e. at the peak, how difficult was it to beat the team during
the peak period...therefore, higher the Dominance Ratio, more difficult it
was to beat the team. |
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